Snapshot, Not Prediction

This map, from a site called Election Projection, is being bandied about by some Republicans, notably Bill Hobbs, who also links to Michael Totten's similar misreaction, as a predictor of a Republican landslide. True, EP also does the same, touting their "prediction" efforts, but as the site notes it is reactive. They take their information from national and state-level polls to contruct the map and track the electoral result. What this map is, is a snapshot of what the country looks like at the time of the last update.

Since the time of Hobbs' post, the state of Illinois has gone from Bush to Democrat, tilting the "landslide" a bit. Things are still in flux; November is a long, long way away. All sorts of things can, and will, happen. It would be wise of folks to remember that.